Assessment of territorial vulnerability: Defining the scale of sustainable date production. The case of Laguna Salada, Mexico
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.37636/recit.v5n2e222Keywords:
Vulnerability, Date production scale, Sustainability, ResilienceAbstract
Given the aridity of the Laguna Salada territory (Mexico) and the scarcity of hydro-productive data on date cultivation in the American continent; The purpose of this research is to determine to what extent and under what conditions the date palm surface could be expanded by the Laguna Salada without violating its capacity to develop sustainably. Methodologically, it carries out an assessment of the vulnerability of the territory to achieve the objective. The results of the evaluation determine the possibility of expanding the date palm surface because the average production scale (3 hectares) is below the sustainable production scale (7 hectares). However, it is also pointed out that there is a low capacity for adaptation of the territory caused by the existence of inoperative and deficient risk management mechanisms. The most suitable area to expand the surface is the northwest of the study area.
Downloads
References
A. Montazar et al. "Determination of actual evapotranspiration and Crop coefficients of California Date Palms using the residual of energy balance approach". Water 2020, vol. 12, no. 8, p. 2253, Aug. 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12082253 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w12082253
E. R. Nemesio Laguna. "La rentabilidad empresarial y el valor agregado en la industria datilera mexicalense: caso Rancho Vieyra." M.A. thesis, UABC, Mexico, 2017.
SEFOA. "Modelo integral de priorización de proyectos, 2016". 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.sefoa.gob.mx/bienvenida [Accessed: 10-Dec-2018].
F. Shabani, O. Cacho, and L. Kumar. "Effects of climate change on economic feasibility of future date palm production: an integrated assessment in Iran". Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, vol. 22, no. 5, pp. 1268-1287, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1080/10807039.2016.1162089 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10807039.2016.1162089
A. Mihi, N. Tarai, and H. Chenchouni. "Can palm date plantations and oasification be used as a proxy to fight sustainably against desertification and sand encroachment in hot drylands?". Ecological Indicators, pp. 1-11, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.11.027 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.11.027
OEIDRUS-BC. "Estudio estadístico sobre producción de dátil en el municipio de Mexicali". 2010. [Online]. Available: http://www.oeidrus-bc.gob.mx/oeidrus_bca/pdf/biblioteca/agropecuaria/DATIL- 2010.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
S. Ghnimi, S. Umer, A. Karim, and A. Kamal-Eldin. "Date fruit (Phoenix dactylifera L.): An underutilized food seeking industrial valorization". NFS Journal, vol. 6, pp. 1-10, Mar. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nfs.2016.12.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nfs.2016.12.001
F. Shabani, L. Kumar, and S. Taylor. "Distribution of date palms in the middle east based on future climate scenarios". Experimental Agriculture, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 244-263, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1017/S001447971400026X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S001447971400026X
OEIDRUS-BC. "Utilización de sistemas de riego en la superficie agrícola: Baja California". 2013. [Online]. Available: http://www.oeidrus-bc.gob.mx/oeidrus_bca/pdf/biblioteca/otros/UTILIZACION%20DE%20SIST%20DE%20RIEGO%20EN%20BC.pdf [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
CONAGUA. "Actualización de la disponibilidad media anual de agua en el acuífero Laguna Salada (0209), Estado de Baja California". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://sigagis.conagua.gob.mx/gas1/Edos_Acuiferos_18/BajaCalifornia/DR_0209.pdf. [Accessed: 10-Feb-2021].
INEGI. "Datos. Temas. Mapas". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.inegi.org.mx/datos/?t=0150. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
G. C. Wright. "The commercial date industry in the United States and Mexico". HortScience, vol. 51, no. 11, pp. 1333-1338, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21273/HORTSCI11043-16
https://doi.org/10.21273/HORTSCI11043-16 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21273/HORTSCI11043-16
SADER. "Servicio de Información Agroalimentaria de Consulta (SIACON)." SADER-SIAP, 2019. [Online]. Available: https://www.gob.mx/siap/documentos/siacon-ng-161430 [Accessed: 22-May-2018].
CONAGUA. "Actualización de la disponibilidad media anual de agua en el acuífero Laguna Salada (0209), Estado de Baja California". 2015. [Online]. Available: https://www.gob.mx/cms/uploads/attachment/file/103406/DR_0209.pdf. [Accessed: 22-May-2018].
H. Eakin and A. L. Luers. "Assessing the vulnerability of social-environmental systems". Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 365-394, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.energy.30.050504.144352 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.energy.30.050504.144352
B. Russo et al. "Evaluación de la resiliencia de los servicios urbanos frente a episodios de inundación en Barcelona. El Proyecto RESCCUE". Ingeniería Del Agua, vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 101-118, 2020. https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2020.12179 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2020.12179
B. B. Choudhary and S. Sirohi. "Understanding vulnerability of agricultural production system to climatic stressors in North Indian Plains: a meso-analysis". Environment, Development and Sustainability, pp. 1-20, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01997-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01997-7
A. L. Luers, D. B. Lobell, L. S. Sklar, C. L. Addams, and P. A. Matson. "A method for quantifying vulnerability, applied to the agricultural system of the Yaqui Valley, Mexico". Global Environmental Change, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 255-267, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(03)00054-2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(03)00054-2
J. M. Vera Rodríguez and A. P. Albarracín Calderón. "Metodología para el análisis de vulnerabilidad ante amenazas de inundación, remoción en masa y flujos torrenciales en cuencas hidrográficas". Ciencia e Ingeniería Neogranadina, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 109-136, 2017. https://doi.org/10.18359/rcin.2309 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18359/rcin.2309
L. He, J. Shen, and Y. Zhang. "Ecological vulnerability assessment for ecological conservation and environmental management". Journal of Environmental Management, vol. 206, pp. 1115-1125, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.059 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.059
M. Vallejo-Ilijama, J. J. Javier-Jara, and G. A. Reyes-Escárate. "Vulnerabilidad de los medios de vida ante las amenazas naturales y antrópicas". Revista Sociedad & Tecnología, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 13-26, 2021. https://doi.org/10.51247/st.v5i1.186 DOI: https://doi.org/10.51247/st.v5i1.186
H. Wu et al. "A novel remote sensing ecological vulnerability index on large scale: A case study of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor region". Ecological Indicators, vol. 129, p. 107955, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107955 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107955
M. S. Boori, K. Choudhary, R. Paringer, and A. Kupriyanov. "Using RS/GIS for spatiotemporal ecological vulnerability analysis based on DPSIR framework in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia". Ecological Informatics, vol. 67, no. November 2021, p. 101490, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2021.101490 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2021.101490
X. Cai, Z. Li, and Y. Liang. "Tempo-spatial changes of ecological vulnerability in the arid area based on ordered weighted average model". Ecological Indicators, vol. 133, p. 108398, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108398 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108398
INECC. "Atlas Nacional de Vulnerabilidad al Cambio Climático". 2019. [Online]. Available: https://atlasvulnerabilidad.inecc.gob.mx/ [Accessed: 03-Mar-2022].
X. Yang, Y. Yu, and Y. Zheng. "Assessment and optimization of territorial space vulnerability: A case study of Xingyang, Henan, China". Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, vol. 120, p. 102950, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2020.102950 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2020.102950
N. Barbier. "Vulnerability to water shortages in the 21st Century's arid and semi-arid American West". L'Ordinaire des Amériques, no. 218, 2015. https://doi.org/10.4000/orda.1956 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4000/orda.1956
É. Liddell. "Phoenix : une métropole-oasis en péril ?". L'Ordinaire des Amériques, no. 218, Jul. 2015. https://doi.org/10.4000/orda.1821 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4000/orda.1821
O. D. Cardona. "Estimación holística del riesgo sísmico utilizando sistemas dinámicos complejos," PhD. thesis. Univerdidad Politécnica de Catalunya, España, 2001
B. L. Turner II et al. "A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 100, no. 14, pp. 8074-8079, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1231335100 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1231335100
FAO. "Objetivos de Desarrollo Sostenible: Indicador 2.4.1 Sostenibilidad de la agricultura". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.fao.org/sustainable-development-goals/indicators/241/es/. [Accessed: 05-May-2021].
FAO and UN-Water. "Progress on the level of water stress. Global status and acceleration need for SDG indicator 6.4.2". 2021. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.4060/cb6241en. [Accessed: 29-May-2020]. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb6241en DOI: https://doi.org/10.4060/cb6241en
J. Martínez Vieyra. "Plan de negocios para la producción de dátil," M.A. thesis, UABC, Mexico, 2012.
K. Lezzaik and A. Milewski. "A quantitative assessment of groundwater resources in the Middle East and North Africa region". Hydrogeology Journal, vol. 26, no. 1, pp. 251-266, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-017-1646-5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-017-1646-5
B. R. Scanlon et al. "Hydrologic implications of GRACE satellite data in the Colorado River Basin". Water Resources Research, vol. 51, no. 12, pp. 9891-9903, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR018090 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR018090
INEGI. "Censo de población y vivienda 2020". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/ccpv/2020/. [Accessed: 17-May-2021].
F. Shabani, L. Kumar, and S. Taylor. "Climate change impacts on the future distribution of date palms: A modeling exercise using CLIMEX". PLoS One, vol. 7, no. 10, p. e48021, Oct. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048021 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048021
B. Li, H. K. Beaudoing, and M. Rodell. "GLDAS Catchment Land Surface Model L4 daily 0.25 x 0.25 degree (GRACE-DA1 V2.2)". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datacollection/GLDAS_CLSM025_DA1_D_2.2.html. [Accessed: 02-Nov-2020].
B. Li, H. K. Beaudoing, and M. Rodell. "GLDAS Catchment Land Surface Model L4 daily 0.25 x 0.25 degree V2.0 (GLDAS_CLSM025_D 2.0)". 2018. [Online]. Available: https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/GLDAS_CLSM025_D_2.0/summary. [Accessed: 27-Nov-2020].
RAN. "Datos Abiertos". 2022. [Online]. Available: https://datos.ran.gob.mx/conjuntoDatosPublico.php[Accessed: 03-Mar-2022].
RAN. "Padrón e historial de Núcleos Agrarios (PHINA)". 2022. [Online]. Available: https://phina.ran.gob.mx/index.php. [Accessed: 28-May-2020].
R. Krueger. "Date palm status and perspective in the United States," in Date palm genetic resources and utilization. Volumen 1: Africa and the Americas. J. M. Al-Khayri, S. M. Jain, & D. V. Johnson, Eds. Dordrecht: Springer, 2015, pp. 447-485. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9694-1_14
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9694-1_14 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9694-1_14
ONU. "Agenda 2030 sobre el Desarrollo Sostenible". 2015. [Online]. Available: https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/es/. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SADER. "Directorio de productores de palma datilera. Ciclo Otoño Invierno 2017-2018. Laguna Salada". Baja California, México, 2018.
FIRA. "Agrocostos". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.fira.gob.mx/Nd/Agrocostos.jsp. [Accessed: 09-Jun-2021].
INEGI. "Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor (INPC)". 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.inegi.org.mx/temas/inpc/. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
FAO/RNE. "Workshop on: Irrigation of date palm and associated crops". El Cairo, Egipto, 2008. [Online]. Available: https://www.doc-developpement-durable.org/file/Culture/Arbres-Fruitiers/FICHES_ARBRES/Palmier-dattier/date-Palm-irrigation&associated_crops.pdf [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
N. L. Sánchez Ortega. "Análisis de la Planeación y Gestión del uso del Agua para riego, en el sector agrícola de Mexicali, Baja California: Un desafío de gobernabilidad," M. thesis. UABC, Mexico, 2021
CEA-BC. "Programa hídrico del Estado de Baja California: Visión 2035". 2018. [Online]. Available: http://www.cea.gob.mx/documents/peh/2016-12-15-PH-BAJA v11.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
POEBC. "Ley de Desarrollo Agropecuario del Estado de Baja California". 2014. [Online]. Available: http://www.ordenjuridico.gob.mx/Documentos/Estatal/Baja%20California/wo56284.pdf [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEGOB. "Ley Agraria". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2018. [Online]. Available: http://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/13_250618.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEGOB. "Ley de Desarrollo Rural Sustentable". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2018. [Online]. Available: http://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/235.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEGOB. "Ley General del Equilibrio Ecológico y la Protección al Ambiente". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2018. [Online]. Available: http://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/148_050618.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEGOB. "Ley para Impulsar el Incremento Sostenido de la Productividad y la Competitividad de la Economía Nacional". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2017. [Online]. Available: http://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/LIISPCEN_170517.pdf [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SPABC. "Programa de ordenamiento ecológico del estado de Baja California, México". 2011. [Online]. Available: http://www.spabc.gob.mx/programas-de-ordenamiento/ [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
POEBC. "Acuerdo de concertación". 2014. [Online]. Available: http://www.bajacalifornia.gob.mx/Gobierno/periodicoOficial. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
POEBC. "Programa de ordenamiento ecológico del municipio de Mexicali". 2000. [Online]. Available: http://www.mexicali.gob.mx/sitioimip/?seccion=Servicios&serv=PLANES%20Y%20PROGRAMAS [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEDAGRO. "Proyecto agropecuario estratégico estatal, 2019: Baja California". 2019. [Online]. Available: http://www.sefoa.gob.mx/bienvenida [Accessed: 29-May-2020]
SEFOA. "Programa de reactivación económica del Valle de Mexicali 2016". 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.sefoa.gob.mx/bienvenida [Accessed: 29-May-2020]
SEFOA. "Tecnología y costos de producción hectárea de dátil". 2014. [Online]. Available: http://www.sefoa.gob.mx/bienvenida [Accessed: 10-Dec-2018]
SEGOB. "Constitución Política de los Estados Unidos Mexicanos". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2020. [Online]. Available: http://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/1_060320.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEGOB. "Ley de Aguas Nacionales". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/16_060120.pdf. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
SEGOB. "Plan Nacional de Desarrollo 2019-2024". Diario Oficial de la Federación, 2019. [Online]. Available: https://www.dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5565599&fecha=12/07/2019. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
B. Li et al. "Global GRACE data assimilation for groundwater and drought monitoring: Advances and challenges". Water Resources Research, vol. 55, no. 9, pp. 7564-7586, Sep. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024618 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024618
CONAGUA. "Actualización de la disponibilidad media anual de agua en el acuífero Laguna Salada (0209), Estado de Baja California". 2018. [Online]. Available: https://sigagis.conagua.gob.mx/gas1/Edos_Acuiferos_18/BajaCalifornia/DR_0209.pdf [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
S. M. Jain, J. M. Al-Khayri, and D. V. Johnson (Eds.). Date palm biotechnology. [Online]. Dordrecht: Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1318-5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1318-5
CONAGUA. "Sistema Nacional de Información del Agua (SINA)". 2020. [Online]. Available: http://sina.conagua.gob.mx/sina/. [Accessed: 29-May-2020].
FAO. The state of the world's land and water resources for food and agriculture. Managing systems at risk. Roma, Italia: FAO & Earthscan, 2011.
Published
How to Cite
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Erika Rubi Nemesio-Laguna, Adriana Margarita Arias-Vallejo
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The authors who publish in this journal accept the following conditions:
The authors retain the copyright and assign to the journal the right of the first publication, with the work registered with the Creative Commons Attribution license 4.0, which allows third parties to use what is published as long as they mention the authorship of the work and the first publication in this magazine.
Authors may make other independent and additional contractual agreements for the non-exclusive distribution of the version of the article published in this journal (eg, include it in an institutional repository or publish it in a book) as long as they clearly indicate that the work it was first published in this magazine.
Authors are allowed and encouraged to share their work online (for example: in institutional repositories or personal web pages) before and during the manuscript submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, greater and more quick citation of published work (see The Effect of Open Access).
